Investing Strategies Articles

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Conventional Investment Advice is Like Dieting Advice (All Over the Map and Terrible)

There are few things more obnoxious than dieting and nutrition advice. The more you dig for answers, the more confusing things get. The findings conflict with each other. The recommendations are all over the map. For example, one guy, a...

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Buffett’s Silence Speaks Volumes as He Sits on a Mountain of Cash

When it comes to sky-high market valuations, Warren Buffett doesn't have to speak. His mountain of cash does all the talking. "Sky-high" was the exact phrase Buffett used to describe market prices earlier this year. In spite of hoping to...

/ Investing Strategies

How Cycles and Position Sizing are Connected

We've been talking about cycles for the past few weeks. You can get a refresher here: What Investors and Farmers Have in Common: The Enduring Power of Cycles The Lotka-Volterra Equations: Nature's Ode to Boom and Bust The WeWork Implosion...

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Big Tech is a Hot Mess, But Microsoft Floats Above the Fray

The world of big tech looks like a chaotic, bruising, conflicted hot mess right now. And then there is Microsoft, floating above the fray. The Redmond, Wash.-based giant not only vies closely with Apple for the title of "most valuable...

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The WeWork Implosion is a Spectacular Example of a Cycle Top (and Era’s End)

WeWork was, at one time, a Silicon Valley “unicorn” of legendary status. Now it is unicorn roadkill. In August, we argued that “The WeWork IPO Sums Up Everything Bad About the Unicorn Bubble.” That was more or less on point...

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Buying Puts on Transport Stocks as a Protective Hedge

The U.S. stock market is in an uncertain place right now. The Dow and S&P 500 are not far from their all-time highs, but technology stocks are a mixed bag and small caps are well off their highs. Then, too,...

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